Am I redundant? The Impact of Generative AI on Legal Hiring

By: Patrick Paulsen

In the ever-evolving world of law, the advent of generative artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping traditional practices and methodologies, as well as raising concerns about its prejudices, lack of ethics and regulations, and abilities to make certain person-provided services automated or redundant. Perhaps closest to home for many law students, however, is how the implementation of AI in legal services will change or eliminate the professional roles they hope to occupy post-graduation. To prepare and grapple with the shifts coming to the industry, it is important for aspiring attorneys to understand the size of disruption AI will create who it will impact, and what skills can be prioritized to succeed in the legal workplace of tomorrow.

Large Scale Disruption in Legal Services

While many firms are still in “wait and see” mode regarding generative AI (As of April only 3% of firms had adopted generative AI), experts expect the impact of generative on the legal services industry to be gigantic, and it is not hard to imagine why. With a global market worth around $700 billion, it is no wonder that the legal services industry is ripe for massive gains to be realized through increased efficiency. This opportunity has spurred legal software companies such as Lexis to deliver “hallucination free” legal citations, briefing, and document drafting. Westlaw is not far behind after Thomson Reuters’s (Westlaw’s parent company) recent $650 million acquisition of legal technology company Casetext, Inc.

While players in the legal industry scramble to implement generative AI and outcompete each other, the extent and full impacts of generative AI are currently unknown. A recent Goldman Sachs economics report estimated that 44% of tasks in the legal industry can be automated through generative AI. AI’s potentially high impact on the industry has led to an array of predictions for the near future. Some reports predict record levels of profitability for firms as AI can perform tasks with much higher productivity and accuracy than legal professionals.

On the other hand, consultant reports and industry experts warn that the integration of AI could spell doom on the economic models of law firms. Validatum, a legal pricing consultancy group, notes that accessing and implementing AI technology entails high upfront costs for firms. While the investment in AI will enable firms to process legal work much more effectively and competitively, such gains in productivity eliminate the functionality of the primary source of legal revenue, the billable hour. As stated by Mark McCreary, co-chair of Fox Rothschild’s privacy and data security practice “a lot of risk for the firm—you spend $1 million on a product to take [away] $3 million worth of hours.” Most of the work that is easily automated is currently in the domain of paralegals and younger associates, such as administrative tasks, document review, and contract drafting. This has led industry insiders such as McCreary to express concern about the practice itself, noting that associates may develop fewer skills and that there will likely be a significant reduction in the workforce.

 Young Associate, Paralegal, and In-House Work is Most Vulnerable

One of the areas significantly affected is the hiring process for first-year associates in law firms. With first-year firm hirings already down in 2023, the prospect of automation eliminating jobs is a harsh reality for many aspiring attorneys. With automation already being cited as a reason for firm layoffs, it seems that the opportunities to break into the legal industry may be much sparser. In fact, Deloitte predicts 100,000 legal industry jobs could likely be automated in the next twenty years

In addition to new associates, in-house and corporate counsel work is also likely to be greatly impacted by the integration of generative AI with their workplace. Unlike firms, in-house counsel does not have an incentive to maximize hours, and common tasks such as contract analysis and document review are ripe for automation through AI.

Perhaps the most at risk of disruption in their roles are paralegals. There are over 300,000 paralegal jobs in the United States and the anxiety over future job stability is already mounting. Similar to first-year associates, paralegals are designated tasks such as document review and clerical work which are most at risk of being automated away or transformed through AI integration.

With so much at stake for the professionals who currently fill these roles or plan to in the future, many are asking whether they will be replaced, and if not, what can be done to stay ahead of the curve.

Silver Linings and Skills for the Future

Luckily not everyone believes that shifts will lead to large-scale displacement. Some consultants and managing partners believe that firm structures will not shift radically from pyramids to diamonds and that the transformative power of AI could lead to more high-level or client-facing work for associates earlier in their careers. However, like any new technology, the rise of AI integration in the legal profession means that workers will have to adjust their skillsets.

Zach Warren, Thomson Reuters head of technology and innovation states that due to AI’s ability to create first drafts, “[a]ll the writing you learn in law school will become editing.” The rise of AI in the legal workplaces of course will mean that any aspiring legal professional will have to understand and be able to productively make use of the newly integrated technologies. One such skill that is already being recruited for is that of “prompt engineering.” Because generative AI is dependent upon input and direction from a user, understanding how best to instruct the AI is a key component in putting AI to constructive use. For this reason, bridging the gap between prompt engineering and legal expertise is a must-have skill for legal professionals going forward.

In conclusion, there is no doubt that AI will impact the legal industry immensely, far beyond previous technological advances such as printers and copying machines. However, only the future will reveal whether AI integration will lead to an increase in opportunities in legal services or make many roles redundant. Either way, those aspiring to be attorneys or work in the legal services industry must be proactive and diligent in honing not only traditional legal skills but also in integrating generative AI tools into their practice.

Sand Trap: The Future of the PGA Tour’s Nonprofit Status

By: Sam William Kuper

“Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund” is not a collection of words typically linked to tax-exempt nonprofits. However, that is exactly who stands to benefit from the century-old 501(c)6 Internal Revenue Code when the PGA Tour and LIV Golf complete their tentative agreement to merge in 2024. But is this merger and the PGA Tour’s planned continued use of its tax exemption as necessarily bad—or even evil—as many politicians are saying they will be?

Money Talks

Led by Chairman Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman (de facto leader of Saudi Arabia) and Governor Yassir Al-Rumayyan (former chairman of Saudi Arabia’s national oil company, Aramco), Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (“PIF”) has over $700 billion USD in assets and is seen as a cornerstone for the development of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 project. Starting in 2014, PIF began investing and reaching beyond Saudi Arabia’s borders to extend its influence and investment opportunities. From stakes in Silicon Valley sweethearts Uber and WeWork(oof) to video game icons Electronic Arts and Activision Blizzard, PIF has become an investment hegemon. Its next goal? Dominating international sports.

Coined “sportswashing,” PIF has used its immense wealth to insert itself into the world’s most popular sports in an attempt to bolster its reputation and hide from Saudi Arabia’s awful human rights record. They bought a middling Premier League soccer team and infused it with cash. They backed Formula One races in Saudi Arabia, headlined by post-race concerts from Travis Scott, Charlie Puth, and Calvin Harris. PIF’s crown jewel, however, was its introduction of LIV Golf in October of 2021.

(Don’t) Pay for Play

For the better part of a century, the PGA Tour has been the preeminent golf league in the world. In 2021, it hosted 113 tournaments in 36 U.S. states and 10 countries, with about 200 golfers competing for $765 million in prize money. It generated over $1.59 billion in revenue and paid executives over $30 million—with Commissioner Jay Monahan raking in $13 million. The catch? They have been a 501 (c)6 tax-exempt nonprofit since 1977.

Initially enacted within the 1913 Tariff Act, 501(c)6 organizations (in comparison to 501(c)3) are organizations that share a common business interest. Their purpose is to promote that interest for the benefit of their members, and “not to engage in a regular business of a kind ordinarily carried on for profit.” In return, they must publicly file a 990 form disclosing their finances—including their sources of funding, charitable donations, and payments to executives.

The PGA Tour was not alone in claiming this exception amongst its peers. In 1966, the Tariff Act was amended to include “football leagues” when the National Football League (NFL) merged with a competitor. Major League Baseball (MLB) and the National Hockey League (NHL) also claimed nonprofit status in the decades following. But while the MLB, NHL, and NFL have all discarded their non-profit status in recent years, the PGA Tour has remained steadfast—mostly because their players are individual contractors and not member teams who make their own profits from ticket sales, merchandise, etc.

By co-sponsoring tournaments with 501(c)3 charities (such as the FedeEx St. Jude Classic), the PGA Tour provides a platform for raising money. However, a 2013 ESPN report flamed the PGA Tour for donating just 16% of its revenue from tournaments on average to charities—the industry standard is 65%and in one case, caused a charity to lose money.

Pitching the Wedge

Documents prepared for PIF by Mckinsey & Company—known to hold authoritarian governments as clients—advised that LIV needed to lure the top 12 players in the world from the PGA Tour to be profitable. They managed four. Nicknamed “Project Wedge,” LIV’s launch was met with expected criticism. Signing stars like Phil Michelson, Dustin Johnson, and Bryson DeChambeau to massive contracts, the PGA immediately banned them from future Tour events. Commissioner Monahan publicly admonished these players, saying that he “would ask any player that has left, or any player that would consider leaving, ‘have you ever had to apologize for being a member of the PGA Tour?’” In its first season, LIV spent $784 million on 8 events. Their revenue wasvirtually zero.”

But despite LIV’s flop, they persisted—and the golf world was thrown into further chaos. The 11 banned golfers sued the PGA Tour for antitrust violations and the PGA counterclaimed for tortious interference. The Justice Department launched its own antitrust investigation into professional golf. But in May of 2023, over breakfast near Palazzo Ducale in Venice, Monahan and Al-Rumayyan came to terms with what, in hindsight, was likely inevitable.

Big Beautiful Deal

The announced agreement, described by former President Trump as “big, beautiful, and glamourous,” would combine the European Tour, LIV Golf, and the PGA Tour into one, new for-profit entity that would control the PGA’s commercial rights. The PGA Tour would retain its nonprofit status and control over how tournaments are played. LIV would reserve the exclusive right to invest in the company. Al-Ramyan would be the Chairman. All lawsuits would be dropped. Almost immediately, two Senate committees launched investigations into the merger so they could assess the “risks associated with a foreign government’s investment in American cultural institutions, and the implications of this planned agreement on professional golf in the United States going forward.

“Golf is a sport in which players call penalties on themselves, whether an infraction is visible to others or not” – PGA Tour mission statement

“Any hypocrisy I have to own.” Jay Monahan, in walking back his initial comments about players leaving for LIV, reiterated that he felt like the merger was best for golf. But it is without a doubt problematic. From Saudi Arabia’s connection to 9/11 to the 2018 killing of Washington Post journalist Jamaal Kashoggi, there is no good way to frame Saudi involvement in American sport.

But here are the facts. The PGA Tour has raised $3.6 billion for charitable donations since 1938, and $1.6 billion since 2014. In 2021, it generated $173 million, or about 12% of total revenue—just 8 million away from cracking the top 100 of the most charitable organizations in the U.S. The NFL Foundation, in contrast, gave away $70 million in 2022, or about .5% of the NFL’s total revenue. Patagonia, who was widely praised for shifting ownership to a nonprofit and dedicating 100% of its profits to environmental causes, still gives away only about 6.6% of its revenue.

We still do not know much about the details of the merger or the future of the PGA Tour as a nonprofit. But if the PGA Tour either decides or is forced to give up its nonprofit status, it will no longer be required to publicly disclose its finances. With Al-Rumayyan serving as the chairman for the new joint entity, and PIF’s reputation for a lack of transparency, this would likely not be an optimal outcome.

Saudi Arabian investment in American culture is not coming—it is already here. But its benefits here of providing consistent wages for all professional golfers, making the game more available across the globe, and ultimately raising more money for charities, may be worth it. We should push for clarity, disclosure, and charitable giving when we can, in whatever form that may take.